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US visa denial rate 2025: In-depth national analysis

US visa denial rate 2025: In-depth national analysis
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For many people around the world, applying for a U.S. visa can be an overwhelming ordeal. Most prospective visa applicants are eager to know how likely their application is to be successful, especially in terms of rejection by certain national groups. Until 2025, this overall analysis followed the latest available data on U.S. visa rejection rates, examining trends and insights.

Understand the U.S. visa rejection rate

Experts refuse US visa

So how US visa denial Are the rates different? Depending on the economy, political relations, and the possible premiums of the applicant, they can vary greatly by country. The U.S. State Department publishes visa numbers and U.S. visa denial rates every year, so the public can see statistics around these numbers.

A global overview of visa denial rates in 2025

There are significant differences in the U.S. visa rejection rate in 2025 compared to other countries. Although the exclusion rate in some countries is extremely low, it shows strong diplomatic relations and strong economic conditions. Others face higher rates due to various factors.

Low rejection rate (0-10%)

The low rejection rate of U.S. visas is associated with the particular characteristics of these countries, including stable economies, low rates of national visa violations, and strong diplomatic relations with the United States. These countries fall into this category in 2025:

Israel (3.30%): Historically, there has been a strong bilateral relationship with the United States, and the compliance rate among citizens is very high, resulting in a low rejection rate in Israel.

United Arab Emirates (4.18%): Dubai’s investments and strategic ties to the United States contribute to its particularly low US visa Dubai’s exclusion rate in 2025.

Saudi Arabia (5.01%): Saudi Arabia enjoys favorable visa approval rates with its relative economic stability and considerable business ties with the United States.

Japan (6.05%): Good diplomatic relations among citizens and a lower rate of overdue means a low rejection rate.

Czech Republic (8.05%): The economic situation of the Czech European Union members is stable and their visa rejection rate is quite low.

Argentina (8.21%): Argentina’s improved economy and strong relations with the United States have made its rejection rate very low.

France (10.11%): France has established important relationships with the United States, and its citizens always respect visa norms, which reflects the low rejection rate.

Mexico (10.57%): Mexico currently faces some of its biggest challenges, but strong economic cooperation with the United States has made its visa rejection rate relatively low.

Italy (10.62%): Exchanges with the United States and fairly stable economics help keep rejection rates low.

Denmark (10.66%): Danes maintain high standards of living and strong bilateral relations with the United States with low visa rejection rates.

Germany (10.84%): Germany and the United States have a strong economy and a strong relationship with the United States, with a low visa rate.

Indonesia (10.95%): Indonesia has achieved the biggest improvement with the U.S. economic growth, it shows in its visa statistics.

India (10.99%): A growing number of qualified applicants and US strategic partnerships with India have resulted in low rejection rates.

Moderate rejection rate (10-20%)

Countries with moderate rejection often face some challenges that affect their visa approval statistics. In 2025, moderate rejection rates were seen on a country-based basis in these countries:

Brazil (11.94%): Brazil’s rejection rate remains moderate due to economic volatility and concerns about the visa level.

Vatican (14.29%): There are only a few candidates in the Vatican, so rejection rates can sometimes have statistical quirks.

South Korea (14.44%): The South Korean government maintains a strong bond with the United States, but some visas are under higher scrutiny, which leads to an overall rejection rate.

UK (14.69%): Despite close ties, some visa categories and individual application variables result in relatively modest rejection rates in the UK.

Spain (15.66%): Visa denial rates in Spain are also affected by economic and applicant-specific factors.

Australia (16.75%): Australia’s rejection as a country is usually low, but some visas are affected by an increase in rejection, which increases Australia’s overall rejection rate.

Norway (17.96%): There are some factors related to applicants and visa categories that lead to moderate rejection rates in Norway.

Higher rejection rate (20-30%)

Countries facing economic or political struggles tend to have higher rejection rates and visa applications are subject to additional scrutiny. Countries with high rejection rates in 2025 include:

Ireland (19.41%): The rejection rate in Ireland is driven by economic reasons and fear of visa extensions.

Türkiye (20.59%): Turkish visa applicants have also been more scrutinized due to political instability and security issues.

Sweden (20.68%): The balance is stable, but some visa categories have increased exclusion rates in Sweden.

Finland (22.82%): It also has similar problems with its visa rejection rate, which is due to economic factors and personal issues related to the applicant.

Egypt (26.11%): The country’s political and economic pressures have caused higher visa rejection rates.

China (26.63%): However, it may maintain strong economic ties, and concerns about visa compliance have increased the rejection rate.

Apparent rejection rate (30-50%)

Countries with high U.S. visa rates may experience economic hardships, political turmoil or security issues that prompt applicants to review more carefully. Among the countries that were rejected in 2025, there are:

Nigeria (29.23%): Nigeria is seen as an economically unstable country, where there are concerns about those who are granted visas.

Ukraine (34.29%): Political unrest and rising security issues mean that potential applicants in Ukraine are facing closer scrutiny.

Iraq (37.09%): Iraqi nationals face a clear visa rejection rate due to security issues and political instability.

Russia (39.49%): Russia’s high exclusion rate is largely due to geopolitical tensions and fear of visa non-compliance.

Pakistan (40.82% most rejected): Applications for visas in Pakistan have been subject to increased scrutiny due to economic challenges and security issues.

Afghanistan (48.73%): Ongoing conflict and security issues have led to a high visa rejection rate for Afghan applicants.

High rejection rate (50% and above)

Countries with very high visa rejection rates in the United States are often trapped in major political, economic or security issues, which carefully reviews applicants. In 2025, the rejection rates in the following countries are significantly high:

Canada (52.04%): The high exclusion rate in 2025 is mainly due to stricter policies, increased reviews and insufficient financial or travel documentation.

Iran (53.26%): Iranian nationals have experienced high visa rejection rates due to political and security tensions.

Liberia (78.19%): Foreign economic instability and concerns about visa violations have driven high rejection rates in Liberia.

North Korea (100%): Due to the lack of diplomatic relations and the potential for security threats, all visa applications from North Korea were always denied because they were not met either US visa requirements.

Factors that affect visa rejection rate

There are many factors to avoid visa rejection in the United States:

Economic Considerations: Applicants from countries with poor economic conditions may experience higher exclusion rates.

Political relations between the United States and the country: Visa approval may be significantly affected by the relationship between the United States’ motherland. When relationships are tense or tense; they are subject to increased scrutiny and have a higher rejection rate.

Security risks: Applicants from countries with serious security issues or terrorist links may face increased rejection rates when they go through a more stringent review process.

Visa overdue price: Historically covered data suggest that nationals in certain countries can cover the country, which may lead to visa issuance by potential new applicants in the country.

in conclusion

Therefore, understanding the U.S. visa rejection rate and the factors driving this driver is important information for applicants around the world. Preparation, transparency, and compliance with guidelines form the basis of a successful visa application process.